These 20 stocks are about to experience an explosive end-of-year rally, JPMorgan says

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  • A late-year rally related to progress on trade relations between the US and China is likely, according to derivatives strategists at JPMorgan. 
  • The firm identified stocks with cheap out-of-the-money options that traders can buy to profit from price gains. 

The stock market has taken a beating in the final stretch of 2018. This means opportunities abound to find stocks that will be the biggest beneficiaries of a rebound. 

„With investors now positioned defensively, and leverage rapidly reduced, there is an elevated risk of market reversion into year-end, thus an elevated risk of an October ‚rolling bear market‘ turning into a ‚rolling squeeze higher‚ into yearend,“ JPMorgan derivatives strategists said in a recent note. 

This rally may be triggered by share buybacks, portfolio rebalancing, the mid-term elections, and progress on trade. That fourth factor would be the most unexpected catalyst for stock gains — and it hinders on President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping having a fruitful discussion at the late-November G20 summit, the strategists said. 

JPMorgan recommended the list of Russell 1000 stocks below as having cheap, limited-loss out-of-the-money call options (~110%), or bets that their prices will rise. Analyses of their earnings-call transcripts suggest that they’re the most exposed to trade risks — and the strategists like their reward-to-risk profiles. 

Additionally, JPMorgan screened only for stocks where it sees a more than 15% upside to their six-month high.

SEE ALSO: With investors now positioned defensively, and leverage rapidly reduced, there is an elevated risk of market reversion into year-end, thus an elevated risk of an October ‘rolling bear market’ turning into a ‘rolling squeeze higher’ into yearend

20. Trinity Industries

Ticker: TRN

6-month high: $39.10

Upside to 6-month high: 37%

Cost of the Dec. 110% Call: $0.35

Strike: $31.50

Source: JPMorgan 

19. FedEx

Ticker: FDX

6-month high: $265.53

Upside to 6-month high: 20.5%

Cost of the Dec. 110% Call: $2.72

Strike: $242.50

Source: JPMorgan 

18. Caterpillar

Ticker: CAT

6-month high: $158.92

Upside to 6-month high: 31%

Cost of the Dec. 110% Call: $1.75

Strike: $133

Source: JPMorgan 

See the rest of the story at Business Insider
Source: Business insider

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