- Control of the Senate will be determined in next Tuesday’s midterm elections — and there are several races that could go either way.
- While pollsters predict Democrats will flip the US House in next week’s midterm elections, they say chances are much slimmer that the „blue wave“ will reach the Senate.
- Here are nine Senate races to keep an eye on next week.
Control of the Senate will be determined in next Tuesday’s midterm elections — and there are several very competitive races to watch.
Democratic incumbents in 10 states that President Donald Trump won in 2016 are facing tough reelection contests. Meanwhile, Democrats are also facing uphill battles in red states where they hope to pick up seats, including Arizona, Nevada, Texas, and Tennessee.
Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight predicted on Thursday that Democrats have a 15% chance of flipping the Senate and asserted that Democrats would need „some type of systematic polling error to win the Senate.“
While Democratic leadership remains bullish on flipping the upper chamber, many operatives are less optimistic. And Trump announced this week that the so-called Democratic „blue wave“ is „dead,“ expressing confidence that the GOP will maintain its hold on the Senate.
„I think we’re doing very well … I think we’ll win the Senate, and I think we’re gonna do well on the House,“ Trump told the Christian Broadcasting Network on Wednesday.
Here are the 9 most competitive Senate races to watch:
North Dakota: Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp vs. GOP Rep. Kevin Cramer
Incumbent Democrat Heidi Heitkamp was elected to the Senate with just 3,000 more votes than her opponent. And her reelection battle is shaping up to be just as tight, with the odds in Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer’s favor.
Heitkamp hasn’t led a poll since February, and her decision to vote against Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation may have hurt her.
A recent Fox News poll has Cramer leading Heitkamp 51-42 among likely voters. And the non-partisan Cook Political Report recently moved the race to it’s „Lean Republican“ category.
Arizona: Republican Rep. Martha McSally vs. Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema
Arizona congresswomen Martha McSally and Kyrsten Sinema are locked in a very close race to fill retiring Republican Sen. Jeff Flake’s seat as the number of the undecided voters in the purple state has dropped.
A recent Fox News poll has both at 46% among lightly voters, and a recent CNN poll has Sinema up over McSally 51% to 47% — a lead that’s within the poll’s margin of error.
Missouri: Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill vs. Attorney General Josh Hawley
Incumbent Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill is tied with Missouri’s Republican attorney general, Josh Hawley, according to a recent Fox News poll.
Trump won the deeply red state by nearly 19 points in 2016, and, evidencing her desperation, McCaskill tried to distance herself from more progressive members of her party this week, insisting in a radio ad that she’s „not one of those crazy Democrats.“
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Source: Business insider